What are the signals in this lexicon and what do they do?

Short market signals that indicate competitive disruption or supply changes and link to a clear next step such as rebid, reassign crews, or secure materials within a week.

How often are signals updated and what timestamp is shown?

Realtime insight signals are pulled hourly; the page includes a dateModified timestamp to show when the feed was last live (for example 2025-09-12).

What immediate action should I take for a Surge signal?

Treat Surge as high priority: rebid or expand crews within 1 to 7 days, confirm scope, call suppliers, and follow the quick rebid playbook steps.

What is Signal Decay and how should I respond?

Signal Decay is a short-lived anomaly. Wait 48 to 72 hours and monitor before changing major plans to avoid reacting to noise.

How do I handle a Supply Ripple alert?

Identify affected materials, contact primary and backup suppliers, place short lead orders or use approved alternatives, and adjust schedules to protect margins.

Which fields should automation feeds include for machine readability and analytics?

Include term name, timestamp, confidence score, suggested action, and notes on scope to support models, training, and automation.

How should I prioritize and act on multiple signals during a week?

Use the action matrix: prioritize high signals (Surge, Supply Ripple, Competitor Bid Drop, Advantage Moment), combine signals for confidence, and apply 1 to 7 day windows for actions.

What are the playbooks and how do I use them?

Playbooks are short step lists for small crews. Example Surge playbook: confirm signal, pull scope, estimate with top estimator, call supplier, send bid and schedule a follow-up in three days. Supply ripple playbook focuses on securing materials and backups.

Seasonal-Bid Signal Lexicon: Rapid Competitive Alerts & Disruption Terms

TLDR

Get fast, week-focused alerts that tell you exactly what to do next (rebid, reallocate crews, secure materials).
Each signal links to a clear next step and a quick playbook tailored for small crews.
Actions are time-bound (typically 1–7 days) and designed for seasonal contract opportunities.
Minimal overhead: concise decisions, faster quotes, and better margin protection.

Overview

Rapid alerts for competitive disruption. Short signals that prompt week-level actions: rebid, reassign crews, or secure materials. Each signal links to a clear next step.

Seasonal-Bid Signal Lexicon: Rapid Competitive Alerts & Disruption Terms (DefinedTermSet) – A small field crew reviews a tablet displaying an alert dashboard with colored badges and concise action items.. A moment pictured by Ricky Esquivel

Signal dictionary and quick actions

Terms are short. Each term shows what happened and what to do in the week ahead.

Surge: A fast, large bid spike. Action: rebid or expand crews within 1–7 days.
Drift: A slow change to the baseline bid level. Action: monitor 1–3 weeks and adjust margins.
Margin Pressure: Costs compressing on similar jobs. Action: review estimates and reduce variable costs.
Supply Ripple: Material lead times change unpredictably. Action: secure critical materials or use alternatives.
Realtime Insight: Live market signals pulled hourly. Action: brief the estimator and prepare a fast quote.
Ethical AI: Model signals include fairness and audit flags. Action: confirm automated decisions and keep manual override ready.
Signal Decay: A short-lived anomaly that fades. Action: wait 48–72 hours before changing large plans.
Seasonal Lift: Predictable seasonal demand increase. Action: staff temporarily and pre-buy common materials.
Competitor Bid Drop: A peer lowers price on similar work. Action: check scope, then decide to match, differentiate, or skip the job.
Price Floor Shift: Market minimum price moves. Action: avoid low-margin bids and update pricing templates.
Volume Spike: Many similar contracts appear quickly. Action: prioritize best-fit jobs and allocate crews.
Contract Posted: A public contract shows up in feeds. Action: gather scope, price fast, and file for follow-up.
Supplier Latency: Supplier response slows or stalls. Action: contact backups and set new order buffers.
Execution Gap: Competitor pitch is stronger or faster. Action: improve the pitch and tighten delivery timelines.
Advantage Moment: A clear opening to win a job. Action: deploy top estimator and highlight strengths in the bid.

Alerts and timing

Signals link to actions that fit inside a workweek. They are meant to be short and clear.

Live as of 2025‑09‑12

Rebid within seven days when a Surge or Contract Posted signal appears.

Readiness 75% Readiness shows how close the team is to execute a fast rebid plan.

Action matrix (quick reference)

Signals mapped to common triggers and week-level actions
Signal	Typical trigger	Week-level action	Priority
Surge	Large competitor bid change or sudden demand	Fast rebid; shift crews; contact suppliers	High
Drift	Slow change in average bid values	Review cost lines; adjust templates	Medium
Supply Ripple	Material lead time variance	Order early; use alternates	High
Competitor Bid Drop	Peer posts lower price	Check scope; decide match or differentiate	High
Advantage Moment	Weak competitor response	Push premium proposal and win plan	High
Considerations: use short windows (1–7 days), combine signals for confidence, and log outcomes for future models. Search keywords: bid signals, supply ripple, execution gap, seasonal lift, realtime insight.

Playbooks and examples

Short playbooks show simple steps. Each play fits a small crew and fast decisions.

Surge playbook — quick rebid

Steps:

Confirm the surge signal. Look at last 24 hours.
Pull the job scope and compare to templates.
Estimate fast with top estimator. Use fixed margins.
Call supplier to confirm lead times.
Send the bid and mark follow-up in three days.

Goal: Decide to bid or pass within 7 days.

Supply ripple playbook — secure materials

Steps:

Identify affected materials.
Contact primary and backup suppliers.
Place short lead orders and confirm delivery windows.
Adjust schedules if delivery slips.

Goal: Avoid job delays and protect margins.

SEO and machine readability

Use the DefinedTermSet structure so automation and search engines read signals. Keep term names short. Keep descriptions operational. Add timestamps and outcome logs for model training and analytics.

Fields to include in automation feeds: term name, timestamp, confidence score, suggested action, and notes on scope.

Categories and tags

Use these tags in internal filters and quick reports. They map directly to signals and actions above.

rapid alerts, week-level actions, quick bid decisions, rebid fast, seasonal lift, contract opportunities, bid signals, surge, supply ripple, margin protection, material lead times, quick quotes, crew optimization, supplier reliability, execution speed, decision within a week, competitive insights, price optimization, win plan, job profitability, risk mitigation, agile procurement